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Toronto Blue Jays

Bet on the Toronto Blue Jays to Win Under 76.5 Games in 2019

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 73 regular season wins did not meet expectations. It was -2.7 below what oddsmakers’ money line projected. The season went worse than expected. They came up short on the road. They were OK at home. They won 40.7% on the road which was worse than expected (43.6%). They won 40 at home and were expected to win 40.4. The latest simulations project a significant drop in wins with a per simulation average of 67.1 wins and are projected to finish twelfth in the American League. There is a sizable gap between them and the #11 ranked Mariners who are projected for 74 wins.

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TEAM STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Since last season their average run differential is -0.76 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #10. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams’ road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

Situation Runs Batting Avg OPS
All 162 Games 4.4 (#10) 0.244 (#10) 0.608 (#4)
Road 4.3 (#8) 0.240 (#8) 0.580 (#8)
Home 4.5 (#9) 0.249 (#8) 0.638 (#2)

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Situation Runs Batting Avg OPS
All 5.1 (#11) 0.264 (#12) 0.615 (#12)
Road 5.4 (#13) 0.278 (#13 0.616 (#10)
Home 4.9 (#11) 0.251 (#11) 0.619 (#12)

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TEAM STATS AND BETTING RESULT GAMELOG

Below is a betting recap of all 162 regular games. Anyone who backed the Blue Jays in all of their games would be down -752 units. Against the run line, they have lost -2381 units risking 100 units on each pick (72-90 PL). They are down against the run line at home and on the road.

Season Recap GS-GA Money Line Run Line Record O/U Record
All Games 4.4 – 5.1 73-89, -752 72-90, -2381 82-72 53.2% Over
On Road 4.3 – 5.4 33-48, -752 35-46, -1485 49-28 63.6% Over
At Home 4.5 – 4.9 40-41, -328 37-44, -896 33-44 57.1% Under
9/30 @TB 4-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8
9/29 @TB 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Push 7
9/28 @TB 7-6 Win +160 Covered +1.5 Over 7.5
9/26 HOU 3-1 Win +102 Covered +1.5 Under 8
9/25 HOU 1-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
9/24 HOU 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
9/23 TB 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8
9/22 TB 5-2 Win +133 Covered +1.5 Under 9
9/21 TB 3-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
9/20 TB 9-8 Win +140 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
9/19 @BAL 1-2 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
9/18 @BAL 6-4 Win +83 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
9/17 @BAL 5-0 Win +80 Covered -1.5 Under 9.5
9/16 @NYY 3-2 Win +200 Covered +1.5 Under 10
9/15 @NYY 8-7 Win +202 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
9/14 @NYY 0-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
9/13 @BOS 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 9
9/12 @BOS 0-1 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 9
9/11 @BOS 2-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Push 9
9/9 CLE 6-2 Win +168 Covered +1.5 Under 9
9/8 CLE 8-9 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
9/7 CLE 3-2 Win +206 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
9/6 CLE 4-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
9/5 TB 10-3 Win +126 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
9/4 TB 0-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
9/3 TB 1-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
9/2 @MIA 6-1 Win +85 Covered -1.5 Under 8
9/1 @MIA 3-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 7.5
8/31 @MIA 6-5 Win +87 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8
8/29 @BAL 5-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
8/28 @BAL 5-12 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
8/27 @BAL 0-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
8/26 PHI 3-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
8/25 PHI 8-6 Win +121 Covered +1.5 Over 9
8/24 PHI 4-2 Win +120 Covered +1.5 Under 9
8/22 BAL 6-0 Win +58 Covered -1.5 Under 9.5
8/21 BAL 8-2 Win +74 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
8/20 BAL 5-3 Win +60 Covered -1.5 Under 9
8/19 @NYY 2-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
8/18 @NYY 6-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
8/17 @NYY 5-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
8/16 @KC 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
8/15 @KC 6-5 Win +83 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
8/14 @KC 6-5 Win +67 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
8/13 @KC 1-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
8/12 TB 2-1 Win +77 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8
8/11 TB 1-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
8/10 TB 0-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8
8/9 BOS 8-5 Win +145 Covered +1.5 Over 9
8/8 BOS 5-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
8/7 BOS 7-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
8/5 @SEA 3-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
8/4 @SEA 5-1 Win +210 Covered +1.5 Under 7.5
8/3 @SEA 7-2 Win +157 Covered +1.5 Over 8
8/2 @SEA 7-3 Win +133 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
8/1 @OAK 3-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8
7/31 @OAK 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
7/30 @OAK 1-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
7/29 @CHW 7-4 Win +111 Covered +1.5 Over 9
7/28 @CHW 5-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 10
7/27 @CHW 10-5 Win +83 Covered -1.5 Over 9
7/25 MIN 6-12 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
7/24 MIN 0-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
7/23 MIN 3-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
7/22 BAL 5-4 Win +49 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
7/21 BAL 4-1 Win +52 Covered -1.5 Under 9
7/20 BAL 8-7 Win +67 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
7/15 @BOS 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 10
7/14 @BOS 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9.5
7/13 @BOS 13-7 Win +195 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
7/12 @BOS 4-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
7/11 @ATL 5-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
7/10 @ATL 6-2 Win +120 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
7/8 NYY 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 9
7/7 NYY 5-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 7.5
7/6 NYY 6-2 Win +140 Covered +1.5 Under 9.5
7/4 NYM 3-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
7/3 NYM 8-6 Win +81 Covered -1.5 Over 9
7/2 DET 2-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
7/1 DET 1-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
6/30 DET 4-3 Win +61 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
6/29 DET 3-2 Win +49 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
6/27 @HOU 6-7 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Over 8
6/26 @HOU 0-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8
6/25 @HOU 6-3 Win +214 Covered +1.5 Over 7
6/24 @LAA 7-6 Win +130 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
6/23 @LAA 4-1 Win +123 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
6/22 @LAA 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
6/21 @LAA 5-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
6/20 ATL 5-4 Win +62 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
6/19 ATL 4-11 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
6/17 WAS 8-6 Win +116 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
6/16 WAS 2-0 Win +200 Covered +1.5 Under 7.5
6/15 WAS 6-5 Win +124 Covered +1.5 Over 9.5
6/13 @TB 0-1 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 7
6/12 @TB 1-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8
6/11 @TB 4-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8
6/10 BAL 13-3 Win +74 Covered -1.5 Over 9
6/9 BAL 4-3 Win +90 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
6/8 BAL 5-1 Win +56 Covered -1.5 Under 9
6/7 BAL 5-4 Win +83 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
6/6 NYY 0-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9.5
6/5 NYY 2-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9.5
6/3 @DET 8-4 Win +110 Covered +1.5 Over 9
6/2 @DET 4-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
6/1 @DET 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
5/30 @BOS 4-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
5/29 @BOS 3-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
5/28 @BOS 3-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9
5/27 @PHI 5-3 Win +91 Covered -1.5 Over 7.5
5/26 @PHI 1-2 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
5/25 @PHI 6-5 Win +88 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
5/24 LAA 1-8 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Push 9
5/23 LAA 4-5 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 9.5
5/22 LAA 5-3 Win +102 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
5/20 OAK 2-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 9.5
5/19 OAK 4-5 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Push 9
5/18 OAK 1-3 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
5/17 OAK 5-10 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9.5
5/16 @NYM 12-1 Win +69 Covered -1.5 Over 7
5/15 @NYM 2-12 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 7.5
5/13 BOS 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9.5
5/12 BOS 2-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 9
5/11 BOS 5-3 Win +165 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
5/10 SEA 3-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
5/9 SEA 5-2 Win +85 Covered -1.5 Under 9.5
5/8 SEA 0-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8
5/6 @TB 2-1 Win +120 Covered +1.5 Under 8
5/5 @TB 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Push 8
5/4 @TB 2-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Push 8
5/3 @CLE 4-13 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 10
5/3 @CLE 13-11 Win +160 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
5/2 @MIN 0-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9
5/1 @MIN 7-4 Win +115 Covered +1.5 Over 9
4/30 @MIN 7-5 Win +105 Covered +1.5 Over 10
4/29 TEX 7-2 Win +40 Covered -1.5 Push 9
4/28 TEX 4-7 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 9
4/27 TEX 4-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Over 8.5
4/26 BOS 4-5 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Over 8
4/25 BOS 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
4/24 BOS 4-3 Win +88 Covered +1.5 Under 8.5
4/22 @NYY 1-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
4/21 @NYY 1-9 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Over 8.5
4/20 @NYY 8-5 Win +175 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
4/19 @NYY 3-4 Loss -100 Covered +1.5 Under 9
4/18 KC 15-5 Win +50 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
4/17 KC 11-3 Win +48 Covered -1.5 Over 9
4/17 KC 5-4 Win +67 Run Line Loss -1.5 Push 9
4/13 @CLE 8-4 Win +133 Covered +1.5 Over 8.5
4/11 @BAL 3-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
4/10 @BAL 2-1 Win +78 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
4/9 @BAL 7-1 Win +105 Covered +1.5 Over 7.5
4/8 @TEX 7-4 Win +91 Covered -1.5 Over 9
4/7 @TEX 1-5 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 8.5
4/6 @TEX 8-5 Win +85 Covered -1.5 Over 10
4/4 CHW 3-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss -1.5 Under 9.5
4/3 CHW 14-5 Win +54 Covered -1.5 Over 9
4/2 CHW 4-2 Win +57 Covered -1.5 Under 9
4/1 NYY 7-4 Win +87 Covered -1.5 Over 8.5
3/31 NYY 5-3 Win +95 Covered +1.5 Under 9
3/30 NYY 2-4 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5
3/29 NYY 1-6 Loss -100 Run Line Loss +1.5 Under 8.5

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