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JFtC 2019 Blue Jays Top Prospects #7 – Sean Reid-Foley

Jays From the Couch explores the outlook for our No. 7 Blue Jays Prospect, Sean Reid-Foley

 

It’s that time of year again! We’re counting down our Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects for 2019. We’ve selected our Top 20 and will be profiling each one. You are bound to find many of these lists in your travels, which makes for great conversation. The basis for rankings varies even more than the number of lists you’ll find. Some prefer to look at how close to “big league ready” a prospect is, while others look at “stuff” or “tools”. To construct our list, we have scoured over scouting reports, numbers and a lot more to finalize our 20179 Top Prospects list. Feel free to weigh in on each selection in the comment section! It’s part of the fun!

 

As we climb higher up the board of Blue Jays top prospects, we become more familiar with the players. Today’s No. 7 prospect, Sean Reid-Foley, is one I’ve been following closely in his five years as a Blue Jays farmhand, and one that Blue Jays fans were introduced to in the summer of 2018 when he made his seven-start debut.

 

Reid-Foley, a second-round pick from 2014, stands 6’3″ and comes in at a solid 220 lbs. He features a standard mix of fastball (92-96), slider, curve and change-up, with the curve and fastball having the makings of plus pitches. The slider and change-up have a way to go, and his success hinges on the location of his fastball, which he can use up in the zone to over power hitters, or leave out over the plate for easy crushing.

 

Reid-Foley’s debut was up-and-down, and at the end of a smoldering 2018 he had posted a 5.13 ERA in the MLB across 33 1/3 innings after just a 3.90 ERA in 85 1/3 innings at Triple-A Buffalo. Much of SRF’s issues came down to control, as he walked 5.7/9 at baseball’s highest level, which was way up from his 3.2/9 in Triple-A. Keep in mind that this was a huge jump for a 23-year old to make, but the walks numbers are still concerning.

 

 

Register Pitching
Year Tm Lev W L ERA RA9 G GS IP H R ER HR BB IBB SO HBP BF WHIP H9 HR9 BB9 SO9 SO/W
2014 Blue Jays Rk 1 2 4.76 4.76 9 6 22.2 21 12 12 0 10 0 25 1 98 1.368 8.3 0.0 4.0 9.9 2.50
2015 2 Teams A-A+ 4 10 4.22 4.97 25 25 96.0 82 53 45 4 67 0 125 7 441 1.552 7.7 0.4 6.3 11.7 1.87
2015 Dunedin A+ 1 5 5.23 5.51 8 8 32.2 25 20 19 1 24 0 35 2 148 1.500 6.9 0.3 6.6 9.6 1.46
2015 Lansing A 3 5 3.69 4.69 17 17 63.1 57 33 26 3 43 0 90 5 293 1.579 8.1 0.4 6.1 12.8 2.09
2016 2 Teams A-A+ 10 5 2.81 3.04 21 21 115.1 78 39 36 4 38 0 130 2 452 1.006 6.1 0.3 3.0 10.1 3.42
2016 Dunedin A+ 6 2 2.67 2.67 10 10 57.1 35 17 17 2 16 0 71 1 220 0.890 5.5 0.3 2.5 11.1 4.44
2016 Lansing A 4 3 2.95 3.41 11 11 58.0 43 22 19 2 22 0 59 1 232 1.121 6.7 0.3 3.4 9.2 2.68
2017 New Hampshire AA 10 11 5.09 5.56 27 27 132.2 145 82 75 22 53 0 122 6 590 1.492 9.8 1.5 3.6 8.3 2.30
2018 2 Teams AAA-AA 12 5 3.26 3.40 24 24 129.2 103 49 47 8 50 0 150 9 540 1.180 7.1 0.6 3.5 10.4 3.00
2018 TOR MLB 2 4 5.13 6.21 7 7 33.1 31 23 19 6 21 0 42 1 150 1.560 8.4 1.6 5.7 11.3 2.00
2018 Buffalo AAA 7 5 3.90 4.11 16 16 85.1 76 39 37 5 30 0 98 6 362 1.242 8.0 0.5 3.2 10.3 3.27
2018 New Hampshire AA 5 0 2.03 2.03 8 8 44.1 27 10 10 3 20 0 52 3 178 1.060 5.5 0.6 4.1 10.6 2.60
Mino Mino Minors 37 33 3.90 4.26 106 103 496.1 429 235 215 38 218 0 552 25 2121 1.304 7.8 0.7 4.0 10.0 2.53
All All 39 37 3.98 4.38 113 110 529.2 460 258 234 44 239 0 594 26 2271 1.320 7.8 0.7 4.1 10.1 2.49
AA AA Minors 15 11 4.32 4.68 35 35 177.0 172 92 85 25 73 0 174 9 768 1.384 8.7 1.3 3.7 8.8 2.38
A+ A+ Minors 7 7 3.60 3.70 18 18 90.0 60 37 36 3 40 0 106 3 368 1.111 6.0 0.3 4.0 10.6 2.65
A A Minors 7 8 3.34 4.08 28 28 121.1 100 55 45 5 65 0 149 6 525 1.360 7.4 0.4 4.8 11.1 2.29

 

So Reid-Foley struggled in his MLB debut in 2018. This has been standard for his progression, stumbling upon reaching a new level before adjusting. This bears for his 2018 performance as well, as after he was blown up by Cleveland on September 8th for six earned runs over 4 2/3 innings, he went on finish the season with just three earned runs over this last three starts, spanning 12 1/3 IP.

 

Projections for Reid-Foley in 2019 aren’t entirely optimistic, as is standard with pitchers who have command-control issues. Most projections have him with a mid-4.00 ERA, a good K/9 around 8.5-9, but a poor walk rate at around 4.00/9.

 

It turns out the Blue Jays might be viewing him the same way. With the club adding Matt Shoemaker and Clayton Richard to the rotation for 2019, it’s likely that Reid-Foley will start the season with the Triple-A Buffalo Bisons. There, he can work on his command issues and polish his secondary offerings, in hopes of returning to the roster later in 2019 as a more well-rounded and matured pitcher.

 

 

 


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